Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 552
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ALABAMA
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PENSACOLA FLORIDA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 551...
DISCUSSION...LOW-CAPE/HIGH-SHEAR REGIME IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND
AND EWD ALONG GULF COASTAL PLAIN AND ACROSS WW AREA WITH
TIME...SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS IN PRIMARY
CONVECTIVE BAND NEAR COLD FRONT...AND ALSO MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
MOVING ASHORE FROM GULF. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1915 FOR MORE
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 552 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 170735Z - 171500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/ - 35NNE TLH/TALLAHASSEE FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /34ENE SJI - 22NE TLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 31988777 31878412 29858412 29968777
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 552 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 552
VALID 171435Z - 171540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S PFN TO
15 SW MAI TO 35 S CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1918
..JEWELL..11/17/14
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC069-171540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
FLC013-045-063-171540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN GULF JACKSON
$$
GMZ750-171540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 552
VALID 171355Z - 171440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW PFN
TO 20 NNW DHN TO 40 SSW CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1918.
..PETERS..11/17/14
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC045-061-067-069-171440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-045-059-063-131-133-171440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ750-171440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 552
VALID 171230Z - 171340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW PNS TO
10 WNW TOI.
..PETERS..11/17/14
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-031-039-041-045-061-067-069-109-113-171340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK COFFEE
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
PIKE RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-171340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ633-634-635-655-750-171340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 552
VALID 171140Z - 171240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW PNS
TO 30 SSE SEM.
..PETERS..11/17/14
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-109-113-
171240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON PIKE RUSSELL
$$
FLC005-013-033-045-059-063-091-113-131-133-171240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ633-634-635-650-655-750-171240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 552
VALID 171050Z - 171140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE MOB
TO 30 SSE SEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1917.
..PETERS..11/17/14
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 552
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-109-171140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BUTLER
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
PIKE
$$
FLC005-013-033-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-091-129-131-133-
171140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON LEON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-061-087-095-099-131-177-201-205-239-243-253-273-
171140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CLAY
DECATUR DOUGHERTY EARLY
GRADY LEE MILLER
MITCHELL QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SEMINOLE TERRELL
$$
GMZ633-634-635-650-655-750-755-171140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.